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[H1B] immigration girl said

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barbri 发表于 2015-5-2 02:03:31 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式

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***UPDATE 4/30/15 – Looks like we have a brief break in the receipt notice action. We have not received any new receipts yesterday or today. I still expect more regular processing receipts to come over the next 2 weeks. Also, please accept my apologies for this site being down intermittently lately. I’m still working on finding the cause. If you happen to visit and find it down, feel free to send a quick email to emily@rnlawgroup.com so I can address it ASAP. And thank you to those who have emailed me or tweeted to me previously regarding the same! ***

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尼采 发表于 2015-5-2 03:58:48 | 显示全部楼层
***UPDATE 5/1/15 – We have now received at least some receipts from both services centers for every type of case. Regular processing bachelors receipts are coming in from both service centers and a few more Regular processing Masters receipts trickled in from Vermont. So, below are the updated statistics. Again, the percentages I am providing represent the percentage of each case type in which we have received receipt notices for the cases filed by my firm. These numbers can therefore give an idea of the overall chances of selection and can help us predict how far along the receipting process is. I have also included last year’s stats to give you an idea how they compare.
Vermont, Premium, Masters cap: 71% of cases were selected (last year the final count was 80%)
California, Premium, Masters cap:  55% of cases were selected (last year was 86%)

Vermont, Regular, Masters cap: 55% of cases so far were selected (last year was 75%)

California, Regular, Masters cap: 42% of cases so far were selected (last year was 75%). from: 1point3acres

Vermont, Premium, Bachelors cap: 39% of cases were selected (last year was 38%)
-google 1point3acres
California, Premium, Bachelors cap: 33% of cases were selected last year was 33%)
. 1point 3acres 论坛
Vermont, Regular, Bachelors cap: 13% of cases so far were selected (last year was 48%)

Californnia, Regular, Bachelors: 17% of cases so far were selected (last year was 33%)

Based on these numbers, here are my predictions: I think we are only halfway through receiving regular processing receipts for bachelors cap cases. Based on the premium processing percentages picked, I am expecting that chances of being picked are approximately 35% for bachelors. It is unclear whether more regular processing masters receipts will be coming. You can see there is a large discrepancy between the two service centers for premium processing receipts. I am expecting that the chances of being picked are approximately 70% for masters. Based on this prediction, we may get a few more regular processing masters cap receipts from both service centers. We are probably at least three quarters of the way through receiving masters cap receipts for regular processing cases. ****
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 楼主| barbri 发表于 2015-5-2 04:33:03 | 显示全部楼层
尼采 发表于 2015-5-2 03:58
***UPDATE 5/1/15 – We have now received at least some receipts from both services centers for every ...

听上去不错. 1point3acres
hopefully, something could reach soon
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zsheath 发表于 2015-5-4 23:32:19 | 显示全部楼层
今年MASTER CAP 中的也比去年低很多只有大概一半的几率 是因为MASTER 以上申请的人多吗 NPP ADV CSC 还在等 虽然知道机会不大了,哎,还是忍不住刷邮箱。 BLESS 所以还在等的人。等待真是很难受
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dunkindollars 发表于 2015-5-5 00:11:06 | 显示全部楼层
感觉现在报中的少很多了啊》。。
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sunhmt 发表于 2015-5-5 00:37:10 | 显示全部楼层
反正都是抽样,但是去年我周围的同学ADV的基本都没中,今年都是二抽中的。.留学论坛-一亩-三分地
所以去年要打个大问号
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机械熊 发表于 2015-5-5 00:43:21 | 显示全部楼层
dunkindollars 发表于 2015-5-5 00:11
感觉现在报中的少很多了啊》。。

我感觉也是。问什么时候能approved的贴子慢慢多起来了
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evansylvia 发表于 2015-5-5 00:46:34 | 显示全部楼层
机械熊 发表于 2015-5-5 00:43
我感觉也是。问什么时候能approved的贴子慢慢多起来了

因为很多还在等receipt no. NPP估计还没处理啊
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wzh27 发表于 2015-5-5 01:46:39 | 显示全部楼层
完全没道理啊
(1) VSC和CSC的比例差的不小。理论上应该是差不多的吧?.1point3acres网
(2) PP 和NonPP的比例差的不小。按道理应该也是差不多的吧?.1point3acres网
不过,如5楼所说,都是抽样,所以有差别不奇怪。我一会儿问一下ImmigrationGirl,看他们的抽样样本到底是多少。
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G.Elva 发表于 2015-5-5 01:50:07 | 显示全部楼层
wzh27 发表于 2015-5-5 01:46
完全没道理啊
(1) VSC和CSC的比例差的不小。理论上应该是差不多的吧?
(2) PP 和NonPP的比例差的不小。按 ...
.1point3acres网
Immigration girl said they have a small sample for CSC. most of their cases file to VSC.
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wzh27 发表于 2015-5-5 03:59:24 | 显示全部楼层
G.Elva 发表于 2015-5-5 01:50
Immigration girl said they have a small sample for CSC. most of their cases file to VSC.

恩,看了她们的答复,确实说CSC比VSC的sample size要小。但是不知道准确数字具体是多少。给她们发了邮件,还没收到答复。
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