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欧盟制定计划"移除"美元:拜登1.9万亿和川普胡闹,都把欧洲吓坏了

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本帖最后由 Rosseta 于 2021-1-17 08:59 编辑

欧盟制定计划,以减少对美元的依赖:
     据英国金融时报报道称,欧盟对全球市场过度依赖美元发出警告。欧盟正寻求办法,减少欧洲在面临美国制裁和其它金融风险时的脆弱性,此举是对美元霸权地位的挑战。一份未公开的欧盟政策文件草案揭示了在特朗普政府执政4年后,欧盟对美国的失望程度。特朗普政府的政策强调了美国及其货币在全球金融体系中的主导地位。

这估计,也是为什么,要紧赶着,在2020年底,德法两国强力搞定,中欧投资协议完成谈判文件,并小签文件的 主要原因吧。欧元/美元(EURUSD),去年上涨了15%。


EU sets out plans to curb reliance on dollar in post-Trump era
January 16, 2021

Brussels is set to warn that global markets are too reliant on the dollar as it seeks ways of curbing Europe's vulnerability to US sanctions and other financial risks, in a challenge to the currency's supremacy just days before Joe Biden's inauguration as president.

A draft European Commission policy paper seen by the Financial Times reveals the depth of EU frustration after four years of the administration of Donald Trump, whose policies underscored the dominance of the US and its currency in the global financial system.

In particular, the paper highlights the EU's difficulties in asserting its independence in the face of sanctions against Iran imposed by Mr Trump, citing them as proof of the need to "shield" the bloc from "the effects of unlawful extraterritorial application" of such measures.

"The Trump years highlighted our vulnerabilities, and we need to address those even if he's gone," said a commission official. "It's about the EU's place in the world — having the means to be an economic and financial power commensurate with our size."

Mr Trump's Iran strategy had a direct impact on financial infrastructure based in Europe, such as the Swift payment messaging system and the Euroclear and Clearstream securities depositories.

"The Trump years highlighted our vulnerabilities, and we need to address those even if he's gone"

Washington's Iran sanctions meant Brussels had to set up a special-purpose vehicle to facilitate payments for legitimate trade between the EU and the Islamic republic — a process fraught with difficulty.

"The EU should develop measures to shield EU operators in the event a third country compels EU-based financial-market infrastructures to comply with its unilaterally adopted sanctions," the paper says.

The document underscores the EU's ambition to bolster its self-reliance in a range of sectors, including finance, after the Trump administration ripped up transatlantic norms. But it is set to be adopted by the EU commission on the eve of Joe Biden being sworn in as US president on Wednesday, and as the EU pledges to seek a new era of co-operation with Washington after the acrimony of the Trump years.

Other plans in the paper that are aimed at boosting the bloc's strategic autonomy include tighter policing of foreign takeovers using the EU's new system for screening foreign direct investment.

Proposed takeovers should be vetted to see if they "would render the EU target company more prone to abide by such extraterritorial sanctions", the document says, on the basis that the acquisitions could then be blocked on national security grounds.

According to the draft, the EU also needs to find ways of boosting the role of the euro in light of lessons learnt from the Covid-19 pandemic. The paper warns that "global financial markets are too reliant on the US dollar to cushion financial tensions and stability risks".





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欧洲被美国肉体精神双控制,这种所谓的反抗就是希望美国能多分点肉给自己,仅此而已,和苏格兰闹着脱离英国一样,逻辑都是按闹分配,会哭的孩子有奶吃。

欧洲要闹得过火了,美国直接威胁撤军,让那帮武备废弛的欧洲佬自己去和俄国人谈吧。俄国人虽然打不过美军,但是对付欧洲这帮公务员军队还是绰绰有余的。

现在让美国人控制着,至少还能在全球贸易体系里吸一吸亚非拉的血,当二等人。真让俄国人当了话事人,可以直接梦回经互会。
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拜登应该请楼主当国务卿
在地里当国师真是委屈了
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欧洲要反了??欧盟要是不用美金,那么swift系统该咋办??

还有,欧盟的石油天然气几乎全部是进口的,不是从俄罗斯,就是从中东...俄罗斯就不说了,也是被美元压制的厉害。中东国家的big 2, 沙特和以色列全是美国的马前卒,美国不可能让石油和美元脱钩的
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 楼主| Rosseta 2021-1-17 09:07:24 | 只看该作者
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本帖最后由 Rosseta 于 2021-1-17 09:16 编辑

冷门知识点:
2019年离岸人民币的交易额,全球大约是 日均1.5万亿人民币。最大的离岸人民币交易中心在伦敦,日均超过850亿英镑;其次是香港,和伦敦交易额差不多;再其次是新加坡(占比大约是6.8%);其他就几乎很少了。

伦敦交易数据(2019年底的)见  https://zhuanlan.zhihu.com/p/91701305

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

最新的,2020年11月 发布:
London RMB Business Quarterly  https://www.cityoflondon.gov.uk/ ... -business-quarterly
London RMB Foreign Exchange Market About 33% of all CNH spot trading on EBS took place during EMEA trading hours in July, the same percentage from February 2020. In Q2, 2020, the average daily CNH FX trading volume in London decreased to GBP65.6 billion, down 22.85% YoY.

The latest data shows that Cross-border RMB transactions between China and the UK surged to RMB633.6 billion between March to July 2020, up 169% year-on-year.

没看懂,日均交易额下降22.85%,但第二季度总跨境交易量增加了169%?




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 楼主| Rosseta 2021-1-17 09:09:25 | 只看该作者
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也聊一聊:1美金到底等于多少人民币  https://www.1point3acres.com/bbs/thread-700573-1-1.html
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 楼主| Rosseta 2021-1-17 09:21:21 | 只看该作者
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本帖最后由 Rosseta 于 2021-1-17 09:27 编辑
天连夜月 发表于 2021-1-17 09:13
欧洲要反了??欧盟要是不用美金,那么swift系统该咋办??

还有,欧盟的石油天然气几乎全部是进口的,不 ...

美国,是真正的 总加速师!

在小签中欧投资协议谈判文件前一天,拜登还通过其候任国务卿,公开地联系欧洲几个大佬,不让签呢。(不排除,拜登可能与默克尔和马克龙,为这件事,有直接通话,只是没公开)



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 楼主| Rosseta 2021-1-17 09:37:07 | 只看该作者
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补充内容 (2021-1-17 14:02):
虽然,12月份呢是由脱欧协议的;但其中,关于金融服务业的内容,等同于“无协议脱欧”。
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 楼主| Rosseta 2021-1-17 10:01:43 | 只看该作者
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本帖最后由 Rosseta 于 2021-1-17 10:04 编辑
mfine793499293 发表于 2021-1-17 09:57
欧洲被美国肉体精神双控制,这种所谓的反抗就是希望美国能多分点肉给自己,仅此而已,和苏格兰闹着脱离英国 ...

一般来说,两个经济体的投资协定,比贸易协定,有更多的隐含着,对于彼此在各自法律与内政上,很多的互认。类似于,两个超级企业资本的相互持股参股。

个人认为,中欧投资协定在2021年底正式签订后,中国是会更多出面,来调解欧俄矛盾。再另外,北溪2项目,就是欧俄的合作大项目,就是被美国直接制裁的。欧洲一直,不反感 与俄罗斯合作,甚至一直希望与伊朗妥协。



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Rosseta 发表于 2021-01-16 17:21:21
美国,是真正的 总加速师!

在小签中欧投资协议谈判文件前一天,拜登还通过其候任国务卿,公开地联系欧洲几个大佬,不让签呢。(不排除,拜登可能与默克尔和马克龙,为这件事,有直接通话,只是没公开)
所以我说 欧盟脱离美元不可能成功,除非欧盟能能源独立。
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