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本帖最后由 s666999s 于 2022-6-15 11:58 编辑
周期，它来了。。。
还有人质疑房价不会跌吗？？
鼓吹房价不会跌的agents，摸摸你的脸。。
Fed Raises Rates By 0.75 Percentage Point, Largest Increase Since 1994
Officials signaled a much more aggressive path of rate rises to combat inflation that is running at a 40-year high
https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed ... ce-1994-11655316170
The Federal Reserve approved the largest interest rate increase since 1994 and signaled it would continue lifting rates this year at the most rapid pace in decades as it races to slow the economy and combat inflation that is running at a 40-year high.
Officials agreed to a 0.75-percentage-point rate rise at their two-day policy meeting that concluded Wednesday, which will increase the Fed’s benchmark federal-funds rate to a range between 1.5% and 1.75%.
The rate increase departed from unusually precise guidance delivered by many members of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee in recent weeks indicating they would raise rates by a smaller half percentage point, as officials did at their meeting last month. The committee vote was 10-1, with Kansas City Fed President Esther George dissenting in favor of a half-percentage-point increase.
New projections showed all 18 officials who participated in the meeting expect the Fed to raise rates to at least 3% this year. The median projection would lift the fed-funds rate to around 3.375%, or by an additional 1.75 percentage point over the following four meetings this year. Most officials had projected in March that they would raise rates to at least 1.875% this year.
The projections showed officials see the rate rising to around 3.75% by the end of 2023, up from the 2.75% rate that officials had penciled in during similar projections in March. Officials project reducing rates slightly in 2024.
Such a pace of increases would represent the most aggressive rate-rise cycle since the 1980s. The central bank has also initiated a program to withdraw stimulus by shrinking its $8.9 trillion asset portfolio through attrition; the Fed is passively reducing its holdings as those securities mature.
“The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective,” said a policy statement released Wednesday afternoon. The statement removed a line that, in May, had indicated officials expected inflation to return to 2% and for the labor market to remain strong as it raised rates.
Wednesday’s economic projections show many officials expect they will need to raise rates to levels to deliberately slow the economy’s growth. Most officials now see growth of around 1.7% this year and next, compared to projections in March that showed growth rising by 2.8% this year and 2.2% in 2023.
The projections revealed that all but one official expects the unemployment rate to rise over the next two years, an implicit acknowledgment of rising recession risks. The median projection showed the unemployment rate, which stood at 3.6% in May, ending at 3.7% this year before rising to 4.1% in 2024.
Officials left their inflation forecasts little changed compared with March. On Wednesday, they projected so-called core prices, which exclude volatile food and energy prices, increasing 4.3% this year, up from a projection of 4.1% last month. The Fed seeks average annual inflation of 2%. Core prices rose 4.9% in April from a year earlier, and based on more recent data, Wall Street forecasters expect the measure to have risen 4.7% in May.
A separate inflation index released last week, the consumer-price index, rose 8.6% in May, driven by higher energy prices. Rising fuel prices and supply-chain disruptions from Russia’s war against Ukraine have sent prices up in recent months.
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