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华尔街和欧洲银行业的巨头们正在放弃他们在伦敦的办事处。仅在未来的几个月内:巴克莱银行(Barclays Plc)可能会放弃其在伦敦的投资银行总部;瑞士信贷集团(Credit Suisse Group AG)正在搬离九层的办公楼;摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)在审查其在伦敦的全部业务...而所有这些举动,都是在COVID-19来袭前就计划好的。如今,随着COVID-19引发的被预测为三个世纪以来最严重的经济衰退,数以千计的员工可能会被裁,这将使得伦敦城和金丝雀码头的房主面临更大的“逃离伦敦浪潮”。根据Coalition Development Ltd.的数据,今年第一季度裁员加速,12家最大的投资银行员工人数下降了5%——这是至少近六年以来,同期的最大幅度下降。据Coalition研究主管Amrit Shahani称,这很大程度上是由陷入困境的欧洲贷款机构推动的,这些机构早在病毒发作前就已经开始萎缩。Shahani预测,到今年年底,欧洲大陆的银行员工可能比2019年初减少20%。
随着2008年金融危机后,银行已经花了十年时间悄悄地减少办公空间,而这种流行病的爆发将刺激银行进一步缩减规模和保存现金。根据CBRE Group Inc.的数据,在过去的九年里,金融行业在伦敦里的规模已经被削减了大约600万平方英尺--相当于十几座Gherkin摩天大楼的面积。
The giants of Wall Street and European banking are giving up their strongholds in London. In the coming months alone, Barclays Plc may ditch its investment bank’s headquarters in the capital; Credit Suisse Group AG is offloading nine floors of office space; and Morgan Stanley is reviewing its entire London footprint. And all of those moves were planned before the coronavirus hit. Now, with thousands of job cuts likely to follow what’s forecast to be the worst recession in three centuries, the tenants of the glass and steel towers that dominate the City of London and Canary Wharf may face an even bigger retreat.
The pandemic has given banks further impetus to downsize and preserve cash after already spending a decade quietly offloading space as jobs vanished in the wake of the financial crisis. In the past nine years, their London footprint has been slashed by about six million square feet -- or the equivalent of a dozen Gherkin skyscrapers, according to broker CBRE Group Inc. Layoffs accelerated in the first quarter, with headcount across the 12 biggest investment banks dropping 5% -- the steepest decline for that period in at least six years, according to Coalition Development Ltd. Much of that’s been driven by troubled European lenders, which were already shrinking long before the virus struck, according to Amrit Shahani, head of research at Coalition. Shahani predicts that by the end of this year, the continent’s banks could have 20% fewer staff than at the start of 2019. source
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