特朗普VS拜登： 2020美国总统大选直播讨论帖

CedrickM 发表于 2020-11-4 11:48
这种东西，对于常青藤私校又不存在……

私校也要遵守的吧，还有公司。

不过PA目前两个大城市计票比例不是很高（费城和匹兹堡），理论上可以再观察一下

OH可能是特朗普稳赢了

main-in vote和有些关键county计票都很慢，再等等吧

现在变为biden路少了，必须拿下AZ，PA（期待邮寄翻蓝），MN，WI

vazine 发表于 2020-11-03 20:06:04
美国这民调怕是调不到农民吧

民调主要是电话，美国农民也很富有的，和中国农民不是一个概念...

jinghuayuan 发表于 2020-11-4 12:02
Yes, but chance is low, focus FL, PA and OH

Ohio
92% reporting
45.4%：53.2%

Florida
98%
47.8% ： 51.3%

哎。。。期待统计邮寄投票有反转

lbytenwater 发表于 2020-11-4 11:37
更恶心的是民主党要丢掉了house...senate估计也拿不下来。Trump在第二个任期至少前2年，真的可以为所欲为了 ...

我看NBC的预测，house应该能保住，senator感觉悬

As you plan your sleep schedule for the rest of the week: We should have near-complete unofficial results from Wisconsin early tomorrow morning, as Milwaukee is expected to finish counting around 6 a.m. Eastern. Michigan originally said it would take until Friday to count all of its votes, but officials have revised that estimate to say they’ll be done tomorrow as well. Finally, Pennsylvania results probably won’t be known until Friday.

- https://fivethirtyeight.com/live ... n-results-coverage/

hello2pig 发表于 2020-11-4 12:13
Ohio
92% reporting
45.4%：53.2%

yes, Trump may win (with high probability) this time! Do not believe the polls

bbblucky 发表于 2020-11-03 20:15:40
我看NBC的预测，house应该能保住，senator感觉悬

house现在落后32个seat....还能保住？