房产公司Redfin预测：2021年将迎来15年来最旺房产市场

房产公司Redfin预测：美国房产市场的抵押贷款利率正处于历史低位，所以房屋销售、新建筑和房屋所有权数量将升至历史高位。随着疫情减退后经济从复苏，美国住房市场将在2021年变得更加强劲。

据Redfin周二发布的报告显示：继2020年增长5%之后，2021年的房屋年销量预计将增长10%以上。

Redfin还预测：

1. 将有超过1450万美国人跨越县界移居，这是自2004年以来的最高数字。

2. 到2021年底，美国人的住房拥有率将达到70%，这是2005年以来的首次。

3. 德克萨斯州圣安东尼奥（San Antonio）将在2021年成为最热门的住房市场之一。其它热门地区包括，亚利桑那州的图森和佛罗里达州的坦帕。

Redfin首席经济学家Daryl Fairweather在报告中说："疫情有望接近尾声，房屋利率将从2.7%缓慢上升到3%左右，但是美国人的购房热情也不会减退。因此，2021年的房屋销售量将超过2006年以来的任何一年。"

Redfin, a major brokerage predicts, home sales, new construction and homeownership will rise to record highs, as mortgage rates remain historically low. The U.S. housing market will get stronger through 2021 as the economy recovers from the pandemic-driven recession, while mortgage rates remain historically low.

The housing market will continue to be buoyed by historically low mortgage rates, according to Redfin, which predicts that the rates will rise slowly from 2.7% to around 3%.

In the meantime, more new homes will be built in 2021 than in any year since 2006, according to Redfin’s forecast. New construction has already picked up since the pandemic began, and building permits increased 21% from September to November compared to the same period last year.

Redfin also predicts that more than 14.5 million Americans will migrate across county lines, the highest number since 2004. The normalization of remote work during the pandemic has set off a domino effect of increased homeownership. By the end of 2021, the American homeownership rate will reach 70% for the first time since 2005, according to Redfin’s predictions.

At the metro level, San Antonio, Texas, Tucson, Arizona and Tampa, Florida, will be the hottest housing markets in 2021, as major cities nearby, including Austin, Phoenix and Miami, become unaffordable, Redfin said.

Annual home sales are expected to rise more than 10% in 2021, following a 5% rate of growth in 2020, according to a Redfin report released Tuesday.

“Even as the pandemic hopefully nears its end, Americans will continue to buy homes that fit their new lifestyle,” Daryl Fairweather, chief economist of Redfin, said in the report. “As a result, 2021 will see more home sales than any year since 2006.”  source

指尖新闻：高信噪比，一目了然

新冠疫情追踪

有啥房地产公司会预测房地产市场低迷啊。。。这不砸自己饭碗吗。。。

楼上回复太牛逼了