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[统计生统] 今天又见一篇老文,贴出来给唱衰统计的筒子

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If you are looking for a career where your services will be in high demand, you should find something where you provide a scarce, complementary service to something that is getting ubiquitous and cheap. So what’s getting ubiquitous and cheap? Data. And what is complementary to data? Analysis.. Χ

– Prof. Hal Varian, UC Berkeley, Chief Economist at Google.

http://www.conversion-rate-experts.com/the-datarati/
http://www.wired.com/culture/cul ... omics?currentPage=1

Google’s prediction: What will be the "sexy" job in the next ten years?


Here’s a strange prediction from Google’s Chief Economist: “I keep saying that the sexy job in the next 10 years will be statisticians. And I’m not kidding.”
. 1point 3acres .1point3acres
That quote came from a New York Times article about the rapidly increasing demand for statisticians.

He’s talking about you, conversion fans. You may not think of yourself as being a statistician—you may not have it written on your business card—but if you’re basing your marketing on data, not on whims, you are already one of the new wave.

We may be in the minority now, but someday all marketing will be carried out this way.

Another article, published by Wired magazine earlier this year, describes how Google’s business models have evolved. Here’s a great quote from the Wired article:

“Hal Varian [Google's Chief Economist] believes that a new era is dawning for what you might call the datarati—and it’s all about harnessing supply and demand. ‘What’s ubiquitous and cheap?’ Varian asks. ‘Data.’ And what is scarce? The analytic ability to utilize that data. As a result, he believes that the kind of technical person who once would have wound up working for a hedge fund on Wall Street will now work at a firm whose business hinges on making smart, daring choices—decisions based on surprising results gleaned from algorithmic spelunking and executed with the confidence that comes from really doing the math.”

Hal is a fantastically insightful guy—and, of course, he has the benefit of sitting at the cutting edge of innovation. So his advice is worth taking.

Here are a few things that any web business can do now to benefit from this approach:

Start making decisions based on data, not on opinion.
Get analytics set up well, so you really know which pages, products, acquisition sources, and so on your money is coming from. Knowledge really is power (and profit).. Waral dи,
Start carrying out split tests (A/B tests or multivariate tests) on different aspects of your business.
Create a culture in which people are rewarded for carrying out tests, not punished for making mistakes.
This might sound like a lot of work. In fact, it’s really liberating. Imagine being able to end long debates with “let’s test it and see who’s right.” Imagine being able to make business decisions based on insight that your competitors don’t have. And imagine never taking a step wrong, because every decision you make is tested, so you almost immediately know whether it was the right thing to do or not.

So, that’s today’s word of the day: “datarati.”

If you missed the Wired magazine article when it came out, it is particularly worth reading: It’s here.

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菜鸟学徒 2012-11-21 19:21:43 | 只看该作者
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EE的人 可以申统计吗
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layyine 2012-11-22 13:55:17 | 只看该作者
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菜鸟学徒 发表于 2012-11-21 06:21
EE的人 可以申统计吗
. 1point 3 acres
可以 但是EE比统计好找工作吧。。
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菜鸟学徒 2012-11-23 13:53:28 | 只看该作者
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layyine 发表于 2012-11-22 13:55 .1point3acres
可以 但是EE比统计好找工作吧。。

好吧 11111
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weiheng.lian 2013-1-21 08:08:07 | 只看该作者
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这是经济学家哈尔-范里安(中文名)的介绍,我看了youtube的视频。不过他扯了半天统计工作的边际需求大,市场数据量多,也只说了google这个企业。实在不敢恭维。。。他写的中级微观经济学是标准的中级,不过数理方面不及麻省尼克尔森的中级微观经济学,尼克尔森用数学工具非常完美的阐释了经济概念
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听鱼唱 2013-1-21 22:59:12 | 只看该作者
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哈哈
贴出来的结果还是被唱衰
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