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[EB2] 没人发我来发吧---奥本7月份排期预测

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本帖最后由 吞云吐泡泡 于 2019-6-5 02:32 编辑

消息来源:
https://www.shusterman.com/visa-bulletin-predictions/
预测结果:
EB1: 05/08/17
EB2: 11/01/16
EB3: 01/01/16



Employment-Based Preference Categories – Visa Bulletin Predictions

General Trends and Observations – Employment-based (EB) adjustment of
status applications filed on or after March 6, 2017 require an in-person
interview at the local USCIS District Field Offices. As of 2017, only 14,000
to 15,000 applications were processed at USCIS District Offices. At this
time, the majority of adjustment of status applications are now at the local
USCIS offices. Initial concern that this policy would lead to longer
processing times resulted in an increase in consular processing. Although
the consular processing of employment-based immigrant visas continues to be
elevated, Charlie believes that this trend may subside as people become more
comfortable with the USCIS adjustment of status interview process.

Based on the number use through the first half of FY2018, Charlie was
concerned that number usage for the year might be 10-15,000 lower than the
annual limit due to lower than normal number use by USCIS Offices. However,
beginning in mid-April 2018, USCIS doubled its number use in several
employment preferences, which in turn necessitated imposition of a final
action date for EB-1 Worldwide and EB-2 Worldwide.EB-1:EB-1 Worldwide demand
remains steady. The Final Action Date is likely to hold as Charlie continues
to monitor demand trends. If there is any movement in this category, it is
not expected to move more than 6 weeks. Charlie does not anticipate that EB-
1 Worldwide will return to “Current” in the foreseeable future.

Charlie also indicated that EB-1 India will not advance again this fiscal
year. It should return to a Final Action Date of February 22, 2017 in
October 2019.

EB-1 China is expected to advance to May 8, 2017 in the July 2019 bulletin.

EB-2: EB-2 Worldwide is expected to remain current through FY19. Some
downgrades are contributing to changes in demand for this category.

EB-2 China will advance to November 1, 2016 in the July 2019 bulletin. This
category continues to advance rapidly due to low demand. Advancements in
this category could slow in the future if demand increases.

EB-2 India will continue to advance very slowly, in daily movements, or up
to one week at the most. Charlie noted that there are 14,000 Indians with
pending adjustment of status applications filed in 2012 in the queue for
numbers in this category. Lower Worldwide EB-2 demand may allow for the
advancement of this date during the summer. This situation is being closely
monitored.

EB-3:Charlie anticipates that EB-3 Worldwide should remain current through
FY19. There is always a possibility that it would be necessary to impose a
final action date later in the fiscal year, but only if demand increases.
Currently, that does not appear likely.

EB-3 China should advance to January 1, 2016 in July 2019. Demand in this
category is starting to increase. However, if demand in EB-2 China remains
steady, it may be possible to shift some of those numbers to EB-3 China.The
Final Action Date for EB-3 India will hold in July 2019. Earlier in the year
, Charlie hoped he would have more overflow from unused Worldwide EB-3
numbers to shift to EB-3 India, but that has not happened to the extent
expected. Since Charlie lacks visibility of this demand, he cannot speculate
on how long the wait might be for this category, or when it will move
forward.


上一篇:记录下Timeline (招聘终于开始了)
下一篇:EB3升EB2的PD排期有关问题
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苏西Susie 2019-6-5 03:12:52 | 只看该作者
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看起来进展不错,再过几天就知道预测的准不准了
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striges1111 2019-6-5 03:30:31 | 只看该作者
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不知道17年和18年多少PD
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finger crossed
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楼主预测准确!
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