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[美股] Participate in dollar's rise

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本帖最后由 PipEvangelist 于 2022-9-19 14:36 编辑

I'm going to make this short.

Investment Thesis

Dollar index has risen almost 15% YTD, making it extremely attractive given a bear market backdrop.




Source: MarketWatch

I believe that the dollar will continue to rise when the effective fed rate is only at 2 1/3%. To combat the inflation, the fed needs to hike the rate in the teens -- we have a long way to go. In addition, institutional investors around the world are rotating out of regional equities and piling in on USD dominated fixed-income assets, adding additional demand for dollar.



Source: Pershing Square Discussion Material

Investment Vehicle
To participate in dollar's rise, there are a number of ETFs that track the dollar index. One of them is UUP, which I have a position in.

As a Chinese student with tuition financed by my parents from China, I find UUP a potential good hedge against Yuan's depreciation.

Discussion
What do you guys think? Are there any other ways to generate above-average yields and capital gains in this market?

I think distressed debt and project finance can be luractive but I ain't that rich to get in those games.

Disclaimer
The author of this idea presently has a long position in securities of UUP and may trade in and out of these positions without notice.  The data contained herein are prepared by the author from publicly available sources and the author's research, opinions and estimates.  No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy of the data or opinions contained herein.  Please do your own research.

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leetForMoney 2022-9-28 22:21:01 | 只看该作者
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UUP不加杠杆今年最多最多最多20% gain,说多不多说少不少。我今天买点
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匿名用户-OURUN  2022-9-29 01:41:45
谢谢! 我也看看 UUP
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